Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.085049 0.094722 0.104665 0.115625 0.127339 0.139460 0.152923
2025-01-19 0.067508 0.081779 0.097253 0.115155 0.135174 0.156754 0.181659
2025-01-26 0.060226 0.078285 0.098739 0.123320 0.151759 0.183345 0.220789
2025-02-02 0.051378 0.071519 0.095296 0.124884 0.160164 0.200368 0.249122
2025-02-09 0.045043 0.066758 0.093366 0.127490 0.169229 0.217811 0.277810
2025-02-16 0.038664 0.061065 0.089548 0.127155 0.174265 0.230176 0.300376
2025-02-23 0.036300 0.060256 0.091593 0.133878 0.187784 0.252660 0.335075
2025-03-02 0.033815 0.058938 0.092713 0.139233 0.199508 0.272983 0.367311
2025-03-09 0.029030 0.053815 0.088291 0.136970 0.201270 0.280835 0.384238
2025-03-16 0.024514 0.048556 0.083217 0.133420 0.201025 0.285925 0.397584
2025-03-23 0.023022 0.047744 0.084265 0.138065 0.211436 0.304459 0.427736
2025-03-30 0.021159 0.046129 0.083993 0.140772 0.219226 0.319670 0.453815
2025-04-06 0.019061 0.044037 0.083058 0.142746 0.226413 0.334677 0.480478
2025-04-13 0.016805 0.041433 0.081193 0.143322 0.231744 0.347437 0.504592
2025-04-20 0.016837 0.042905 0.085684 0.153235 0.250084 0.377479 0.551244
2025-04-27 0.015185 0.041082 0.084843 0.155224 0.257430 0.393109 0.579481
2025-05-04 0.013919 0.039826 0.084791 0.158314 0.266299 0.410809 0.610534
2025-05-11 0.012168 0.037360 0.082558 0.157952 0.270190 0.421825 0.632911
2025-05-18 0.011957 0.038041 0.085614 0.165745 0.285813 0.448763 0.676377
2025-05-25 0.011501 0.038135 0.087635 0.171936 0.299177 0.472741 0.716104
2025-06-01 0.009789 0.035201 0.084173 0.169324 0.299612 0.479007 0.732311
2025-06-08 0.008092 0.031975 0.079924 0.165222 0.297671 0.481880 0.743920
2025-06-15 0.007744 0.031971 0.081527 0.170590 0.309784 0.504226 0.781715